06 April 2008

New Poll shows FF stronger without Bertie

A new opinion poll shows a 5% increase in support for Fianna Fáil since the Taoiseach has announced his resignation for May.

The Red C poll in today's Sunday Business Post also shows that just 22% of Irish voters think Bertie Ahern should not have announced his resignation.

The unplanned snap poll was carried out on Thursday, just a week since the last Red C poll for The Sunday Business Post.
(For details of that, please see my entry from April 1st)

Only 500 voters were questioned this time, which is half the normal Red C sample. So this gives a higher margin of error. However, the general tendency is clear enough.
It also shows that my own analysis and advice (given on April 1st) was entirely in line with Irish mainstream opinion and spot on. I do not praise myself, but it is a nice feeling to be so much right in such a public way.

Fianna Fáil's support stands now at 40% (up five points since last week), while Fine Gael dropped two points to 28%.

The Labour Party stays unchanged on 11%, while the Green Party moved up one point to 9% and the PDs are stuck on 1%.

Sinn Féin's support in this poll dropped three points to 6%, while the Independents and others dropped two points to now 5%. These two figures I would question as rather incorrect, and they are clearly an effect of the only half-sized focus group.

Only 22% of voters thought Bertie Ahern should not have resigned, while 31% say they did not want him to go, but he had no option after recent revelations.

20% thought it was about time he resigned, and 24% thought he should have gone earlier, as soon as the Mahon Tribunal began investigating his affairs.

It will be interesting to see how long Brian Cowen's political honeymoon will last, and if he can hoodwink the Irish people as successfully as Bertie has done it during the last ten years.

The Emerald Islander

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

What do you think about updating your first entry to ....lives in Ireland and is active in local as well as world wide change.

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